Calabasas Real Estate Market Report (2012 to 2024)

June 15, 2024

Understanding real estate trends is crucial for homeowners, investors, and policymakers. This analysis focuses on the median sales price trends in Calabasas, CA, from January 2012 to May 2024. By examining the fluctuations and overall growth in this period, we aim to provide insights into the factors driving these trends and their implications.

Historical Context

Early 2012: Initial Observations

The median sales price in Calabasas, CA, began at $811K in January 2012. This period was marked by a recovering real estate market post the 2008 financial crisis. Buyers were gradually regaining confidence, and the market started showing signs of stability.

2012 Trends: Fluctuations and Recovery

Throughout 2012, the prices fluctuated. By April 2012, the price dropped to $640K but quickly recovered to $869K by June. These fluctuations can be attributed to seasonal variations, economic conditions, and buyer sentiment. The overall trend, however, indicated a recovery phase.

calabasas real estate

Mid-Term Analysis (2013-2017)

2013-2015: Steady Growth

The period from 2013 to 2015 saw a steady increase in median sales prices. By mid-2015, prices crossed the $1M mark. This growth can be linked to several factors:

  1. Economic Recovery: The broader economic recovery post-2008 crisis played a significant role. Employment rates improved, and consumer confidence increased.
  2. Low-Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve maintained low-interest rates, making borrowing cheaper and increasing home affordability.
  3. Demand-Supply Dynamics: Calabasas, known for its affluent neighborhoods and quality lifestyle, saw increased demand which outpaced supply, driving prices up.

2015-2017: Market Dynamics

From 2015 to 2017, the trend continued upwards. Prices fluctuated around the $1M mark, showing resilience despite minor dips. The overall growth trajectory remained positive, indicating a robust market.

Recent Trends (2018-2024)

2018-2020: Significant Growth

The period from 2018 to 2020 marked significant growth in median sales prices, reaching about $1.5M by the end of 2020. Several factors contributed to this surge:

  1. Economic Conditions: A strong economy with low unemployment and rising incomes bolstered the real estate market.
  2. Tech Boom: Proximity to Silicon Valley and the rise of the tech industry increased demand for luxury homes in areas like Calabasas.
  3. Limited Inventory: A shortage of available homes further drove up prices as competition among buyers intensified.

2020-2024: Pandemic Impact and Recovery

The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on the real estate market. Initially, uncertainty and lockdowns slowed down transactions. However, the market rebounded strongly by mid-2020, driven by:

  1. Remote Work: The shift to remote work increased demand for larger homes with more amenities.
  2. Low Mortgage Rates: Record low mortgage rates made home buying more attractive.
  3. Inflation Hedge: Real estate emerged as a preferred investment to hedge against inflation.

By early 2024, median sales prices peaked at around $2M. The post-pandemic recovery and the continuous demand for quality living spaces contributed to this surge.

Factors Influencing Trends

Economic Indicators

Economic health is a critical driver of real estate trends. Key indicators such as GDP growth, employment rates, and consumer confidence directly impact housing demand and prices.

Interest Rates

Interest rates set by the Federal Reserve influence borrowing costs. Lower rates reduce monthly mortgage payments, increasing home affordability and boosting demand.

Demand-Supply Dynamics

The balance between housing supply and demand significantly affects prices. In Calabasas, the demand for luxury homes often outstrips supply, leading to price increases.

Demographic Shifts

Changes in population demographics, such as an influx of high-income professionals and retirees, can drive up demand for real estate in desirable locations like Calabasas.

Government Policies

Policies related to taxes, zoning, and housing incentives also play a role. For example, tax benefits for homeownership can stimulate demand, while stringent zoning laws can limit supply.

Comparative Analysis

Calabasas vs. Surrounding Areas

Comparing Calabasas with surrounding areas provides additional insights:

  1. Affluent Neighborhoods: Calabasas is known for its affluent neighborhoods and celebrity residents, which drive up property values compared to nearby regions.
  2. Quality of Life: High-quality schools, amenities, and a secure environment make Calabasas a preferred choice, sustaining high demand and prices.
  3. Market Stability: Despite fluctuations, Calabasas has shown resilience and steady growth, outperforming many neighboring areas.

National Trends

Aligning Calabasas trends with national trends highlights broader market dynamics. The upward trend in Calabasas mirrors national patterns of rising home prices, driven by economic recovery and low-interest rates.

Implications and Future Outlook

Homeowners and Buyers

For current homeowners, the rising prices represent increased equity and potential gains. Prospective buyers, however, face higher entry costs and need to consider affordability carefully.

Investors

Real estate investors see Calabasas as a lucrative market, given the consistent appreciation in property values. Long-term investment prospects remain positive, though careful market analysis is essential.

Policymakers

Understanding these trends helps policymakers address housing affordability and implement measures to balance supply and demand. Initiatives to increase housing stock and support sustainable growth are crucial.

Conclusion

The median sales price trends in Calabasas, CA, from January 2012 to May 2024, reflect a robust and growing real estate market. Key drivers include economic recovery, low-interest rates, demographic shifts, and strong demand for quality living spaces. Despite fluctuations, the overall trend indicates significant growth, making Calabasas a valuable area for homeowners and investors alike. Future prospects remain positive, though market participants must navigate challenges such as affordability and market volatility.

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